Qav Podcast

The bipolar Mr Market, commodity updates, PE clarifications in Bible, Qantas upgrade, ATL owned Camplify acquires European base, Howard Marks raising money, Pulled pork on SLH, Tony’s coffee with SOL CEO, why Tony has always been invested in WAM, advice on how to find a financial adviser, what to do if you’re going away for 2 weeks.

Oil, copper and gold commodity movements, SDG bought for the DP, but it’s in rundown, Pulled pork request from Ally: BST, Interest rate changes to Master spreadsheet, dividend payments and sell lines, investment prioritization and risk tolerance, 2% capital loss/risk rule, the TGA share consolidation scenario, what is the main commodity for S32?, the coal sell line, parcel sizing.

Liz Truss is a genius ; COAL - if thermal is a buy, and coking is a Josephine, how do we treat YAL; I screwed up with SMR today; Portfolio updates; RBA increasing rates today; David Gottesman, Warren Buffett Partner, Dies; The market PE ratio is falling; Recession in my mind, is almost certain; All ords down 7.13% on a 1 year basis. but the Small ords is down 22.24%; Pulled Pork on: BFG; the Investment Clock; how to determine if there has been a recent positive upturn; why does TK think "Capital Goods" companies are starting to show up in droves on our list; the theory of "3PTL Sells" and dividends.

Fund performance; Reserve Bank money printing and inflation; Labor and Franked Dividends; Pulled Pork XTE; share market rout; portfolio update; RBA burns $50bn in QE; Viva Energy Buys back Coles Express sites; WHC announces $2bn buy back; Apollo shares jump on Jucy deal; Kudos to ABC News; Doug’s shorting experiment update; back testing around observing major triggers of a general downward trend in the market; the pros and cons of ETFs; ECX continually buying back shares and Rule #1.

Founder-lead businesses; dividend payment dates; Stock Doctor and updated results; keeping LICs off the buy list; Renko chart update; RBA governor under pressure; new large cap stocks; setting up a $100k DP; GNP pulled pork; NL stands for No Liability; the benefit of taking profits.

Which stocks are pushing up the AORD; the making of a millionaire study; commodity changes; TER results; Pulled pork ALO; Renko charts and time frames; RRL sell line; sell lines and "not losing profits”; how TK does regression testing; would TK buy something that doesn’t have a sell line.

Iron Ore is a sell; Down days, up days… what about neutral days; Rule 1 and dividends; Josephine but above its 2BL; Happy birthday Warren; Taylor’s article; Pulled Pork: SMR; SGM less impacted by the iron ore price; GRR and Renko charts; ALO, a scalable software play; moving average v 3PTL; WHC thoughts

Time to check your 3PTL alerts; spare a thought for poor Andrew Forrest; NCK’s results; Ophir fund performance; Portfolio updates; Reversal of fortune for BPT, back on the buy list; Some old friends return to the buy list - SUL, BFG and WHC; SGM is a scrap metal recycler tied to the iron ore price; TK mistakenly bought KAR and VEA; he also bought NWS but probably shouldn’t have; Pulled Pork is ABA; PTB enters into scheme implementation deed; JHG price/op cashflow; the outlook for REITs; banks and 'Price to Op cashflow ratio’; TK’s thoughts on a 2nd sell line; has Tony found he has had any better or worse luck on stocks he's repurchased after making a loss; sell line for EHL; who is our Qaverick of the Week?

Our guest today is Brisbane-born, LA-based Tobias Carlisle, PM of Acquirers Funds, author of The Acquirer's Multiple and Deep Value, and co-host of the Acquirers podcast. We talk about the current state of value investing in the USA and why macro economics is "Astrology For Men".

On this episode: Signs of Coming Economic Horror, gold is a sell, CGF punished, portfolio update, mortgage rates update, reporting season updates, nickel close to a buy, BPT misses guidance, Pulled pork on SDG, OGC delisting, SKT pulls out of Media Works, filtering the list for dividends.

We bid farewell to ONJ; Portfolio update; 3PTL reminder; Catch phrase comp; Oil is almost a sell; Gold AUD no longer a sell; Pulled pork is KPG; AFIC Net Asset Backing; Is Copper a buy; Is TK fully invested currently or still being cautious; the longest period of under performance TK has experienced.

Aluminium is now a buy; CCP down on results; MLD takeover; RIO results; owner-managed companies outperform; Pulled Pork SOL; the “wine selection” of iron ore blends; YAL drop on Glencore sale; where TK gets his news during reporting season.

We farewell a QAV member; gold is a sell; iron ore is close; pump and dumpers duped millions out of Aussie investors; BPT results; Buffett’s casino analogy; profit taking driving up inflation; Duncan on asset washing; pulled pork on ACL; using the 3PTL on ETFs; has TK done better out of mining or industrial stocks; how and why of the Average Daily Trade rule.

During turbulent times, we have to have discipline; Elon and Twitter; MHJ shares up on strong quarterly sales; Iron ore about $5/Ton above its fudge sell line; Pulled Pork - AMO; MQG’s cash flow; CFO of ASX Ltd has announced her departure - a bad sign?

This week: I caught COVID, stochastic processes, interest rate rise, growth after corrections, Munger invests in Australia, the Coppock Curve, Buffet backs BYD, Pulled pork on WHC, 2BL examples, banks and downturns, and underlying indicators for retail.

As the financial year has ended, we discuss our portfolio performance, and then discuss BYE’s qualified audit, Confession season, mortgage rates, Pulled Pork is NZM, Iron Ore prices, 2nd Buy Line examples, and dollar cost averaging vs going all in.

Michael Goldberg from Collins St Value Fund joins us again to talk about how they are managing the current market. This interview was conducted on June 8, so please take that into account.

This is “the white-knuckle part of the cycle”. Portfolio update. Iron ore and gold charts. Stockhistory v Stock Doctor prices. GMA and mortgage issuances. The milk stool legs. RBA and inflation. Small rods is WAY down. Wash-selling. PE contraction. Pulled pork on WDS. Benching Michael Jordan. UPST. Lots of Rule 1 questions. Buying a "wonderful company at a fair price" and ignoring sentiment.

Our guest today is Dr Jenny Fagg, CEO, 2Be. Jenny has had a long career in banking and finance, with roles including Chief Risk Officer of AMP Limited, EVP of Products and Payments at CIBC, one of Canada’s five top banks, CEO and Managing Director of ANZ National Bank Limited, New Zealand's largest bank and wealth business, Managing Director of ANZ Consumer Finance in Australia, senior leadership roles in risk and marketing management at Citibank, and Jenny established the consulting practice in retail lending and customer profitability at KPMG. She holds a PhD in Management (Risk) and a Bachelor of Economics (First Class Honours in Organisational Psychology). And she is also Tony's wife. She joined us recently to talk about her new venture, her book, "The Gist of Generosity",  and what it's like being married to Tony. 

Why investing is a little like musical chairs at the moment; why we should like it when the market makes mistakes; Apple announces BNPL service; changes to cash rate; Pulled Pork on PGL; Yancoal takeover update; Iron Ore no longer a Josie; fundie performance limited by short-termism; how to stay sane during corrections; reporting of qualified audits in half-yearly reports.