Synopsis
Learn to invest like a pro.
Episodes
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QAV 738 – Pigs Get Slaughtered
17/09/2024 Duration: 37minIn this episode of QAV, we discuss the ASX's record high, our portfolio returns, Earnings Surprises, Vysarn (VYS) raising capital, and analyse the GenusPlus Group (GNP). We look at news stories about builders going bankrupt, lessons from the dot-com crash and share a couple of WWOWS quotes.
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QAV 737 – FEAR & GREED
10/09/2024 Duration: 37minIn this episode, Tony and Cam discuss recent commodity declines and a gold price surge and what it all means, as well as recent Brettalator issues and portfolio updates. Tony reads from 'What Works on Wall Street' talking about how value investing sustains through market bubbles. The 'Pulled Pork' segment features Cash Converters, analysing its business model, regulatory impact and growth potential. a big punt In After Hours, they also discuss low-budget films, William Shatner's intense role in 'The Intruder,' and Nick Cave's new album 'Wild God.' The conversation shifts to Allan Lichtman's election predictions, Lachlan Murdoch, and a Brett Whiteley art exhibition.
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QAV 736 – RECENCY BIAS
04/09/2024 Duration: 33minIn this episode of the QAV value investing podcast, Tony and Cam review the impressive US portfolio performance with a rise of 44%, compared to the S&P’s 27%, and compare with the Australian portfolios. They discuss the recent performance of big caps versus small caps, MMS setbacks. Behavioral economics insights from ‘What Works on Wall Street’ by Shaughnessy are explored, focusing on recency bias and overconfidence. They cover Resimac (RMC) CEO’s sudden resignation, financial implications for Australian Clinical Labs (ACL), Stock Doctor data integrity issues with SCL, and delve into Judo Holdings’ (JDO) market position in the ‘Pulled Pork’ segment. Listener questions about SMSF strategies are addressed. The episode closes with After Hours, emotional updates on Tony’s horse racing ventures, tales of Cape Schanck, Dave Grohl’s autobiography, The Room, Brahms Intermezzi, and the joys of old Jackie Chan and Donnie Yen films.
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QAV 734 – Stockopedia Webinar
20/08/2024 Duration: 01h53sIn this episode of QAV, Elio D'Amato from Stockopedia interviews Tony Kynaston. The discussion covers Tony's investing principles, his journey from corporate management to investing, Tony's philosophy of having a disciplined investment system, and key strategies he employs in his Quality at Value (QAV) investing approach. They touch on the importance of cash flow over earnings, trend lines for timing buys and sells, and the use of a checklist for evaluating stocks. The webinar also highlights how Tony manages his portfolio and some of his stock picks like Boom Logistics, Macmillan Shakespeare, and AGL. There’s also a dive into the dynamics of market sentiment, psychology of investing, and how to maintain discipline amidst macroeconomic noise.
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QAV 733 – Recovering
14/08/2024 Duration: 01h26minIn this episode Tony and Cam discuss the recent global market crash, its causes, and how value investors can navigate the turmoil.
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QAV 732 – Water Off A Duck’s Back
07/08/2024 Duration: 36minIn this episode Tony and Cam discuss the recent global market crash, its causes, and how value investors can navigate the turmoil.
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QAV 731 – Getting High with VIT
31/07/2024 Duration: 24minTony and Cam break down the sharp drop in FND stock and the impact of new shareholders, review Karoon market updates, and explore an activist investor’s push for a new dividend strategy.
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QAV 730 – Consistency Is The Key
24/07/2024 Duration: 35minIn this episode of the QAV podcast, we look at recent news involving SGI, ATP, FGM, CVL, AX1 and a deep dive into ABB's recent share price drop and business fundamentals. We discuss listener Conrad's successful modification of the QAV investment system, which led to a 31.4% return in the last year and review some advice from O'Shaughnessy's 'What Works on Wall Street' regarding consistency in investing. The after-hours segment includes discussions on examples of outstanding customer service, the benefits of rural call centers, and U.S. politics. We also chat about Tony's recent golf win, film reviews of 'Stingray' (1976) and 'The Assassination Bureau' (1969), and recommend the music of The Jim Carroll Band and Grace Cummins and the Doctor Who site, stitchesintime.
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QAV 729 – The Trump Bump
17/07/2024 Duration: 42minIn this episode of the QAV podcast, hosts Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly are discussing a record-high in the All Ordinaries index spurred by the 'Trump bump', Aussie Broadband's sudden dive (ABB), portfolio results, more FY survey results, MLX's bump, the Shipping Crisis, thoughts about integrating "Buyback Yield" into the checklist, and Tony breaks down the history and market stance of Elders Limited (ELD) in a detailed 'pulled pork' segment. They also explore the Apple Vision Pro's new features and its future alongside immersive tech like Oculus Rift, then shift to the political scene with discussions on Trump's influence on global conflicts. The conversations touch on AI, Elon Musk's ventures like Neuralink and SpaceX, horse racing updates, book recommendations, and reviews of 'Better Call Saul' and Tom Cruise films.
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QAV 728 – Fixing The U.S. Checklist
10/07/2024 Duration: 30minIn this episode of the QAV podcast, Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly discuss the necessary improvements and changes to their US portfolio, including updates to their buying checklist and new financial metrics. Tony does a pulled pork on the U.S. company Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC). In Australian news, they delve into market news affecting coal and iron ore prices and cover some more member survey results ad TK updates us on his Rich List Portfolio . IN after hours, they talk about Tasmania's MONA art gallery and reflect on AI's future, drawing from insights by Elon Musk and Bill Gates, indoor golf simulators compared to real-life golfing, and their upcoming demo of the Apple Vision Pro, speculating on technology's impact on real-life experiences.
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QAV 727 – Great FY Results
02/07/2024 Duration: 47minIn this episode of the QAV podcast, hosts Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly cover a range of topics at the start of the new financial year. They begin the resilience in financial and property markets amid global interest rate hikes, and how the gig economy affects unemployment rates. They also touch on the history and impact of quantitative easing, review their own and member financial year results, and analyze market news related to companies like Myer and Fortescue Metals Group. Tony provides an in-depth look at Auric Mining Ltd (AWJ) in his 'pulled pork' segment. Tony answers questions about tax rates and performance-based share issuance, then in After Hours they get into movie reviews of 'Furiosa' and 'Marie Antoinette.' They also explore AI's potential future impacts on job markets and technological advancements, referencing Ray Kurzweil's predictions.
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QAV 726 – Negative Waves
25/06/2024 Duration: 01h23minIn episode 726 of QAV, Tony and Cameron pay tribute to the late Donald Sutherland, then shift to discussing fluctuations in the crude oil market, a deep dive into Ben Graham's investment principles and their relevance today, alongside a detailed analysis of TabCorp Holdings, the market's over-reaction to HLI news, and FND breaking the curse of the pulled pork.
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QAV 725 – Mr Lazy & Mr Dumb
18/06/2024In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony dive into recent market activities, the RBA’s decisions, the Lindy Effect, substantial shareholder announcements, and GrainCorp’s prospects, along with a detailed analysis of Embark Early Education (EVO). Member questions about living off a share portfolio during down years and the differences between value and quality investing are addressed. Additionally, Tony clarifies the calculation of shares on issue for Rio Tinto, emphasizing global figures for earnings per share. In after hours, the duo also covers Mario Puzo's 'The Godfather', Alphonse Mucha, and the Archibald Prize, and discuss the potential and risks of AI, drawing references from science fiction. They wrap up with thoughts on films and books, including 'Klara and the Sun'.
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QAV 724 – Our First U.S. Episode
11/06/2024In this episode of QAV, Cam and Tony explore the U.S. market for the first time, with a brief introduction of Tony and his QAV system of value investing, a discussion of value v growth investing, a discussion of the performance of our U.S. dummy portfolio, a deep dive or 'Pulled Pork' segment on Reinsurance Group of America (RGA), and a review of the FY survey results we've received so far from club members.
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QAV 723 – The Vulcan Fudge
05/06/2024Join Tony and Cameron in episode 723 of QAV as they discuss a variety of topics ranging from American barbecue joints to the Hunter Biden lawsuit. Tony talks about his relaxing golf trip down the East Coast and the challenges of selling a house. Then we discuss Vulcan level emotional detachment in investing, recent market movements, and specific stocks like CUE, MME, and PRN. There's also an exploration of dividends and portfolio performance. In after hours, we're talking about 'The Blues Brothers' Sidney George Reilly (Ace Of Spies), Nicholas Cage in "Dream Scenario" and our plans for our first U.S. episode.
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QAV 722 – WELTANSCHAUUNG
29/05/2024In this episode, Tony provides insights into recent retail sales figures, the market's reaction, and the concept of 'confession season' in the corporate world. Then he conducts a detailed 'Pulled Pork' segment on Stealth Group (SGI), a tool retailer, evaluating its financial health, market performance, and prospects. In the club edition, we also discuss the reasons behind varying member performances (and our own performance), and discuss the importance of sticking to a disciplined investment model.
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QAV 721 – Dr No
21/05/2024 Duration: 23minIn 721 we discuss the pain of FND, why Aussie investors keep investing in unprofitable companies, and TK does a Pulled Pork on SRV. In the club edition only: the myth of the ‘new normal’, why LIC AFIC is selling below its NTA, how Aussie investors can benefit from the AI boom, what we should do about copper prices being up, how to interpret the number of buys going down, how often is TK is making purchases based on factors outside the numbers, and how to interpret the resignation of the PRN CFO.
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QAV 720 – Boom!
15/05/2024 Duration: 36minThe Budget cometh, Lessons in Kindness from Buffett, and a Deep Dive into Boom Logistics. Also in the Club edition: Reflections on Jim Simons and Quant Investing, Navigating Market Fluctuations: FND and FPR Updates, Exploring VYS's Surge, Elon Musk's Suggestion to Warren Buffett, Marcus has a question about applying quality score to existing holdings, Jim asks about Life 360, Stock Doctor Data Integrity Issues, Nick asks about Josephine rules, Trent asks about AGL and LNG
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QAV 719 – Peaking at 99
08/05/2024 Duration: 26minThis week we're talking about the Berkshire Annual Meeting, China's gold purchases, a pulled pork on EHL (Emeco Holdings), SXE profit guidance update, Regression testing Price < Cons, Activists vs Karoon Energy (KAR), Austal (ASB) backers want Hanwha Group in the race, TRS is a 3PTL Sell, Apollo sinks THL, Morningstar valuations, banks doing large buybacks.