Qav Podcast

In QAV Episode 806, Cameron and Tony cover key market updates, including Elon Musk’s $97B bid for OpenAI, Trump’s steel tariffs, and the resurgence of iron ore as a buy. They analyze portfolio performance, noting that long-held stocks tend to outperform, and discuss Nick Scali, Beach Energy, and Seven West Media’s earnings. Cameron unveils the ‘Reilly Indicator’, suggesting that a lack of sell signals could indicate an impending market correction. They revisit the ‘Crazy Girlfriend Rule’ for stocks that repeatedly disappoint, explore the impact of COVID lows rolling off charts, and debate when bad news stops being a red flag. The Pulled Pork segment examines Grange Resources (GRR)—a strong performer but with a looming mine closure. The episode wraps with fun discussions on horse racing, Al Pacino, and flat-pack furniture frustrations.

In this episode recorded on February 4, 2025, we dive into the impact of recent US tariff implementations and their immediate retraction. We also discuss the resignation of Resolute Mining's CEO following his detention in Mali and its effect on the company’s share price, TK explains the Ricardo effect on national economic strategy, the collapse of Mosaic Brands, regulatory approval for FND, and a 'Pulled Pork' segment on Aurelia Metals (AMI), covering the company's history, current status, and future projections amid the booming gold prices. In After Hours, they offer tributes to Marianne Faithful and discuss pop culture, including 'Rogue Heroes' and 'Inland Empire', Nazi propaganda and 20th-century Russian literature.

In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony discuss a variety of topics, from Tony’s trip to Tasmania and adventures at MONA to Cameron’s kitchen mishap with a mandolin slicer. The conversation transitions to market insights, including the impact of the Chinese AI system DeepSeek on global markets and Nvidia’s significant market cap loss. The duo explores key investment stories like Lindsay Australia’s stock performance and Washington H. Soul Pattinson’s involvement, as well as discussing pathology services company ACL and its challenges in a government-regulated environment. The episode closes with reflections on the late David Lynch and his creative legacy.

While TK is away, I'm chatting with Phil Muscatello from the Shares For Beginners podcast, about everything the two of us have learned about investing over the years we have produced our respective podcasts.

This week we're talking about commodities such as crude oil, copper, and lithium becoming buys again, Wall Street predictions and the practical approach of focusing on quality investments and managing risk. Tony shares analysis on several stocks including NWH and MYR, discussing red flags, and a pulled pork on HZN. Cameron discussed his recent analysis on Rule 1 selling and some news regarding FSF and GNP, plus an article from the AFR about Australia's private sector being in recession. After Hours features reviews of films like ‘Civil War’ and the ‘Planet of the Apes’ series, along with the show ‘Black Snow’, and NVIDIA’s groundbreaking announcements at CES.

In our first episode for 2025, we break down our mixed portfolio results for 2024, talk about news related to MWY, ABA, ERD, RMS, play clips from a 1994 talk from Peter Lynch, review Geoff Wilson's investing checklist, discuss Eugene Lama's views on efficient markets, quantum computing threats. And in the After Hours segment we talk about the films, TV and music that's kept us busy over the break.

A review of the stock market's winners and losers for the year, updates on TLS, DTL and FPR, Planck's Principle in investing, our predictions for 2025, and a 'Pulled Pork' on Wagner's Holding Company (WGN). In After Hours we talk about Leunig, say RIP to departed friends, and discuss ADHD.

This week we're talking about SXE's new contracts, The Buffett Indicator, "The Mind of Wall Street", the Murdoch succession crisis, Pulled Porks on GTN and RM, and then in After Hours we discuss Dune Part Two, S02 of Bookie, Vivaldi's Four Seasons, Skeleton Crew, Wild Gods, Pink Moon and using the Australian government to bail out failing news organisations.

In this episode of QAV: Tony's recent golfing escapades and his upcoming move to Cape Schanck. We discuss ANZ's CEO change, reviewing the impact on the stock and the broader banking landscape, including concerns over market share and IT integration challenges. ABA's merger with MyState is analyzed for synergies and potential risks. There's an in-depth look at operating cash flows from Fleet Partners and whether it remains a QAV stock. The 'Pulled Pork' segment features Hello World Travel Limited, examining its financials and market position. Other topics include Boom Logistics' consolidation, commodities recovering thanks to China's statements, the RBA's interest rates decision, and Rule 1 sell strategies. The episode also includes reviews of recent media highlights, from cinema classics to new spy thrillers.

In this episode, while Tony is playing golf, I am joined by guest co-host QAV club member Geoff Fleming. We discuss Geoff’s investing journey, then get into Anthony Scaramucci’s book on Bitcoin "investing", recent updates from EHL and FND, ASIC's warnings about cybersecurity threats to share holdings, the latest market news including gold stocks like WestGold (WGX) and Resolute Mining (RSG), and a deep dive on Auswide Bank (ABA), including its recent acquisition, merger talks with MyState, and financial challenges. After hours chat includes Babylon, The Old Man, pumpkin pie, Pink Floyd / Roger Waters concerts, Jethro Tull lyrics, Bauhaus movement, Cobra Kai and The Life of Apollonius of Tyana by Philostratus.

In this episode, we discuss the impact of Trump's tariffs and sanctions on markets, the consolidation of Boom Logistics, Resolute Mining Update, listener feedback about lithium investments and accruals, the Mooch on bitcoin and his Trump decoder ring, a pork on Woodside Petroleum (WDS), Nick Scali's Logistics Challenges, the latest on the super tax proposal, EV vehicle sales in Australia, and a second pork on U.S. company Pool Corporation (POOL), a recent Berkshire Hathaway investment. After Hours includes Tony's recent experiences with Rockwiz, Stephen Fry, and a golf win, while Cameron talks about the 1963 Italian horror film BLACK SABBATH and a new documentary about Elvis' 68 Comeback Special.

In a jam-packed two-hour long episode 747, we're talking about everything from the RSG kidnapping to accruals in the QAV checklist, the performance of ASG, why Cam didn't buy SWM when he read Kerry Stokes' AGM speech, Zombie companies on the ASX, the NAB being sued by ASIC, the retirement of Joyce Corporation's CEO, GrainCorp profits, Brokers hype, Findi's Indian ATM / IPO play, before wrapping up with after-hours chatter about horses, boxing, movies, fascism, and 20 years of podcasting.

In this mammoth two-and-a-half-hour marathon episode #746, we covered an extensive range of topics, from Trump's 2024 election victory and its implications, to detailed analysis of multiple companies and market sectors. Elon Musk's new role as Minister for Government Efficiency (DOGE), portfolio performance updates showing significant outperformance of benchmarks, and several mining company developments including Resolute Mining's Mali crisis, Liontown Resources' lithium struggles, the delisting of Namoi Cotton and the challenges of tracking corporate actions in Light portfolios, and iron ore market challenges. Cam does a pulled pork on US shipping company TeeKay Corporation's history and operations, and Tony does a pulled pork on Qantas Airways' business model and fleet concerns. The After Hours section also included discussions about horseracing updates, entertainment recommendations including David Tennant shows, and concluded with an extensive debate about Trump's potential impact on democracy and differe

We discuss the RBA’s Cup Day meeting, TK does a 'Pulled Pork' on CCP's recent performance, and quotes from 'What Works on Wall Street' by O'Shaughnessy, exploring key accounting ratios and shareholder yield. After hours is about cycling safety, Coppola's "DEMENTIA 13", scotch eggs, and managing celebrities.

We're talking about the impact of Solly Lew's strategic moves on Myer, before discussing Mosaic Brands' recent troubles, portfolio reports, and Tony provides a comprehensive 'Pulled Pork' segment on AMP. Cam discusses the Woozle Effect in investing and provides pulled pork on one of the stocks in our U.S. portfolio, Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior (BLX). After Hours includes updates on horse racing, a recommendation of the TV show 'Bad Monkey', and reviews of Fritz Lang's film 'M' and Kubrick's "Full Metal Jacket".

In this episode, Tony and Cam talk about market predictions, and recent impressive gains in WGX, FND and WLFC. In the pulled pork, Tony analyses Redox (RDX), and then answers questions about portfolio strategies and buyback versus dividend yields. The episode also features insights from O'Shaughnessy's 'What Works on Wall Street', and After Hours has personal anecdotes about Cameron's Kung Fu grading, Tony's horse racing, reviews of classic films and literary works like 'Pimp: The Story of My Life' by Iceberg Slim.

This episode - an analysis of Pepper Money Limited (PPM), Emeco Holdings (EHL), Macmillan Shakespeare (MMS), and GTN. We discuss share buybacks, the impact of private equity ownership, the importance of dividend changes as buy/sell signals, the use of three-point trendlines in stock analysis, and the performance of the US dummy portfolio. We delve into O'Shaughnessy's research on dividends from "What Works on Wall Street", Lefevre's warning about listening to brokers, and explore strategies for stocks under takeover offers. In After Hours - Dennis Hopper, Rick Rubin, Slow Horses and Kung Fu.

In episode 741 of QAV, Tony and Cam discuss fear and greed with quotes from "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator", analyse West African Resources' (WAF) market situation due to Burkina Faso's political climate, Bank of Queensland's (BOQ) franchise strategies, Tony's attempts to get ChatGPT to help with the Kelly Criterion, answer a question about US Dummy Portfolio Strategy, and discuss insights on price-to-cash flow ratios from 'What Works on Wall Street' by O'Shaughnessy. The 'Pulled Pork' section features an in-depth look at Adairs (ADH) and its new strategic direction. And, of course, After Hours.

In this episode, we do a deep dive into 'Reminiscences of a Stock Operator' by Edwin Lefèvre, detailing Jesse Livermore's life and lessons. We give AU and U.S. portfolio updates, some discussion about interest rates and the housing market, say goodbye to VUK, keep an eye on the iron ore price, reveal TK's recent mistakes, and talk through a quote from 'What Works on Wall Street' by O'Shaughnessy. The 'Pulled Pork' segment looks at one of our U.S. investments, American retailer Lands' End (LE), its history and recent quarterly results.

In this episode of the QAV 739 Club, CR and TK review their portfolio performance, do a pulled pork on Qantas, discuss the impact of the RBA's interest rate decision, and the effectiveness of insider trading signals and the impact of Dividend Strategies in Australia.