Exchanges At Goldman Sachs

In a recent client call held by Goldman Sachs Research, Brian Dodge, President of the Retail Industry Leaders Association, discusses how retailers will re-open. Dodge is joined by Goldman Sachs Research’s Kate McShane, Alex Walvis, and Jenna Giannelli, who all cover the retail sector. 

Alex Blanchard of Goldman Sachs’ Global Markets Division shares an update on how global central banks are responding to liquidity concerns. 

With mitigation measures leading to an apparent leveling off of case growth globally at the same time that the economic costs of such measures continue to mount, several countries around the world have begun to plan for—or have already started to implement—economic reopening. But absent herd immunity or a vaccine, such reopenings increase the risk of a resurgence. With this in mind, what a safe reopening might look like, how well-positioned the US is to achieve one and how quickly reopening would really translate into economic recovery is Top of Mind. In this episode, we consult three experts on these questions: University of Pennsylvania’s Dr. Zeke Emanuel, Duke University’s Dr. Mark McClellan and Harvard University’s Dr. Barry Bloom. Finally, with more complete economic normalization only likely with an effective testing regime, treatments, or a widely available vaccine, we discuss where we are on all of the above. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Goldman Sachs CFO Stephen Scherr and other senior leaders across the firm discuss topics that are top of mind for CFOs in the current environment, from financing markets and liquidity concerns, to earnings guidance and economic outlooks. 

Sarah Kiernan of Goldman Sachs’ Global Markets Division gives her quick take on the latest market volatility, including investors’ reactions to record-low oil prices.  

To share Goldman Sachs’ latest analysis on record price declines in oil markets, this episode leverages a client call, featuring Jeff Currie, Damien Courvalin and Brian Singer of Goldman Sachs Research, and Anthony Dewell of EMEA Commodity Trading in Global Markets. The call was held the morning of April 21st, 2020. 

In this episode, Terry Hagerty, co-head of homebuilding & building products investment banking for Goldman Sachs, discusses how COVID-19 has impacted the outlook for housing and the broader building products sector. Despite the severity of the current slowdown, Hagerty points to favorable demographic tailwinds as reasons to expect a return to industry growth into 2021. Additionally, Hagerty explains why the sector may be poised to rebound more quickly from this crisis than that of 2008, driven by more favorable supply/demand dynamics, consumers’ relatively strong financial position, and healthy corporate balance sheets. “When I look at the balance sheets and liquidity positions of my clients, both in home building and building products, it’s quite strong,” Hagerty says. “Most of them have access to the capital markets, given some of the Fed action that we’ve seen, and generally they’re all positioned to weather what could potentially be a very extended downturn. So the outlook today is much different than 200

As volatility continues in the public markets, Meena Flynn of Goldman Sachs’ Consumer and Investment Management Division gives her analysis on the latest swings and explains how investors with permanent capital are positioning themselves. 

Ashok Varadhan, global co-head of Goldman Sachs’ Global Markets Division, talks about how financial trading has adapted to a primarily remote workforce and also shares takeaways from the division’s strong first quarter performance. 

Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon shares his views on the pandemic and the economic impact, alongside other of the firm’s senior leaders. 

In this episode, Margaret Anadu, head of Goldman Sachs’ Urban Investment Group, talks about COVID-19’s impact on US small businesses and explains the firm’s recent announcement to commit $500 million in capital for emergency loans to small businesses. Then, three entrepreneurs and graduates of Goldman Sachs’ 10,000 Small Businesses program share their personal stories -- Erin Andrews of Indi Chocolate, a Seattle-based chocolate factory, Ellen McNulty-Brown of Lotuff Leather, a Rhode-Island based leather maker, and Matt Jozwiak of Rethink Food, a New York City-based nonprofit.

The global oil market is experiencing a massive demand shock, with demand for transportation fuels sitting in the crosshairs of the coronavirus crisis. At the same time, major oil producers have engaged in a war for oil market share, resulting in a sizable supply shock. The impact of these simultaneous shocks on oil prices, OPEC+, the oil industry, and credit and financial markets more broadly are Top of Mind. In this episode, Allison Nathan interviews three energy experts, Pulitzer Prize-winning author, Daniel Yergin, PIRA Energy Group Founder, Gary Ross, and our own head of Global Commodities Research, Jeff Currie. They discuss the enormity of the current oil shock, how we got here, and what’s in store—namely, sharply lower, and even negative, crude oil prices as oil infrastructure is overwhelmed by the supply surge. But they also argue that the sharper the price decline, the sharper the eventual rebound as oil production is shut in.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Anne Marie Darling of Goldman Sachs’ Global Markets Division analyzes the S&P 500 index’s historically fast fall into bear market territory and shares results of the April Marquee QuickPoll, a survey of institutional clients which found that about half of respondents don’t believe lows have been set yet.  

In an effort to provide timely and valuable updates regarding ongoing market volatility and potential economic impacts, we’re sharing a “Market Update” call hosted by our Investment Banking Division. In the conversation, Goldman Sachs President and COO John Waldron provides an update on the current environment, alongside other senior leaders across the firm.

Andrew Wilson of Goldman Sachs Asset Management explains how volatility in U.S. financial markets from the COVID-19 outbreak is playing out across Europe as well. “European markets have been very much in the eye of the storm,” Wilson says. “So the focus is on what policy responses are coming out of Europe, just as much as it is out of the U.S.” 

Coronavirus has pushed the global economy into a recession of historic proportions and halted the longest-lasting equity bull market on record. As infections spread globally, economic activity collapses, markets recoil and policymakers respond, the depth and duration of the economic and market downturn is Top of Mind. In this episode, Allison Nathan speaks with the former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Jason Furman, and Goldman Sachs’ Chief Economist, Jan Hatzius. Both agree that the near-term economic damage will be severe, but whether it proves longer-lasting will depend largely on the virus’ trajectory and somewhat on policymakers, who have done a lot, but may need to do more to sustain households, businesses and market functioning in this difficult period. To that end, we assess the risk that the global health crisis becomes a financial crisis. And we discuss how this might play out in markets, and what investors should do from here. For that, we draw on the wisdom of Oaktree Co-Chairman, How

Goldman Sachs’ top economists and strategists discuss revised forecasts for the US economy and corporate earnings and the prospect of federal stimulus programs in the face of the COVID-19 outbreak. 

Joe Montesano, head of Americas Equity Trading for Goldman Sachs, analyzes how the coronavirus pandemic continues to add volatility to markets. Montesano also talks about parallels and differences in today's market environment compared to that of the 2008 global financial crisis.

Amid the uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, Goldman Sachs’ global medical director Dr. Michael Rendel joins by phone to talk about what employees can do to stay healthy and productive while working remotely – from setting up comfortable work stations to taking time for meditation and exercise. Dr. Rendel also talks about the importance of managers supporting their teams’ physical and psychological well-being, as well as the firm’s strategy more broadly in terms of coordinating global offices. 

Alex Blanchard of Goldman Sachs' Global Markets Division analyzes the Fed's recent decisions to increase liquidity amidst market volatility.