Basewinner Crunch: Mlb Baseball Betting Podcast

Scott talks with Basewinner about Mariners swing betting, the effect the upcoming trades might have on the standings, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes

Scott talks with Basewinner about Astros swing betting, the next team to play on/fade based on expected standings plus 3M starter numbers, Home Run Derby strategy for Monday, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes

Scott talks with Basewinner about using applying financial trading concepts to sports betting and how MLB's crackdown on "sticky stuff" is going to affect pitching stats. Show Notes

Scott talks with Basewinner about the effect on OPS when a batter can get to 2-1 in the count. Then they discusses the new baseball weather site they built. Episode Web Page

Scott talks with Basewinner about the league standings, WRC+ RISP vs full, the top and bottom 20 starters based on the 3M model, and the bullpen ratings from the 3M model. Also find out why Mark thinks the Cardinals are the luckiest team in baseball.   Show Notes and Charts

Scott talks with Basewinner about the league standings, WRC+ RISP vs full, the top and bottom 20 starters based on the 3M model, and the bullpen ratings from the 3M model. Show Notes

Scott talks with Basewinner about his the three-metric bullpen pitcher rating tool (3MBP), the league-wide standard vs. component-based standings, league-wide WRC+ RISP vs full, and the top 20 starting pitchers.   Download Charts   Episode Website

Scott talks with Basewinner about his new three-metric pitcher ranking tool, moneylines and their implied implied odds, and WRC+ vs RISP WRC+.   Show Notes

Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming season, the NL West projections, team salaries, and what deadened ball controversies we can look forward to this year. Show Notes

Scott talks with Basewinner about the LCS results and gets his thoughts on the upcoming World Series.   Download episode charts  

Scott talks with Basewinner about the LDS results and thoughts about the upcoming league championship series. They also discuss why some people choose to play with legal sportsbooks despite having worse lines.   Download Episode Charts

Scott talks with Basewinner about the wildcard series results and thoughts about the upcoming league division series. They also discuss the pitcher rating tool and MLB weather tool on basewinnner.com.   Download episode content

Scott talks with Basewinner about the playoffs and we give final numbers and thoughts regarding the 2020 NL West Season. The guys talk about how to how to calculate house margin for playoff futures and why betting futures most likely is not the best available bet. Also, Basewinner goes over all playoff wild-card series calculations and tells you what he would bet if he was playing these and what he would do if investing in the Playoff futures market. Also, Basewinner talks about the weighted coin idea when calculating Playoff series prices.   Download Episode Charts

Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming playoffs and Chris Paddack from the Padres. Is he having as bad a season as everyone says? Plus, the podcast regular segments of in-depth NL West Sabermetric and Weekly standings and review of RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. Download episode charts

Scott talks with Basewinner about 2020 MLB home and away splits. Basewinner takes a look at the leaders in home/away splits involving two stats he feels are very important. How can you use these stats and splits as a baseball handicapper? Also, we takes a look at the Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen. What will be Basewinner's general betting approach when looking at his games? Plus, the podcast regular segment of in-depth NL West standings, sabermetric, and weekly standings.   Download show charts

Scott talks with Basewinner about the Los Angeles Angels and answers two member questions: Why does Basewinner still have the Angels offense rated so high, and why is he backing off them now despite the daily model projections usually still showing value on them? Also, BW revisits Madison Bumgarner as he makes his return back to the D'Backs rotation. What is Basewinner's take away from MadBum's awful start to his D'Back career. Plus, podcast regular segments of in-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric, and Weekly standing and review of RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. Download episode charts

Basewinner and Scott review the 2020 teams that hit the best vs. specific pitch types. This could be helpful with pitch mix game analysis. In-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric, and Weekly standings. Basewinner reviews RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. NL West starting pitcher spotlight is on Kenley Jansen. Basewinner still likes him goes over the reasons why plus a quick but important lesson in MLB analyzing him has brought out again.   Download extra content here

Basewinner and Scott review the teams that have outperformed or fallen behind their pre-season expectations. This could be helpful to identify potential regression candidates. In-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric and Weekly standings. Basewinner reviews RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. NL West starting pitcher spotlight is on Merril Kelly. Basewinner is upbeat on him and goes over the reasons why. Download extra content

Mark and Scott discuss the NL West vs. sabermetrics, RISP vs. full disparity, the Runs/100 metric compared to wRC+, and the research Mark has been doing on fielding. We finish up by discussing Kevin Gausman from the Giants. Download stats PDF Stat of the Week: The importance of defense

Mark and Scott discuss the NL West Standings, the Runs/100 metric compared to wRC+, and Madison Bumgarner's surprising lack of velocity and control. Episode 2 Content Madison Bumgarner is throwing 88 mph. How concerning is that?